Flip the U.S. House
Working to win back the House is a fundamental piece of the "stop Trump" strategy. It puts a necessary check on the MAGA agenda, and it's Step One in removing Republicans from federal office, full stop.
With the narrowest House majority in almost 100 years, winning the House is doable.
To get there, we're focusing our efforts on competitive swing districts where the last election came down to a few thousand (or a few hundred!) votes. And we’re trying to win as many of those races as possible, to flip the House by a margin too big to challenge, contest, or steal. Every competitive race on our map is part of building a Democratic majority that holds.
By taking action now, we're laying the foundation to win this year and again in the future.
Jump to races:
Must-Flip Races
The most competitive GOP-held seats, where margins will be razor-thin and outcomes will determine which party controls the chamber.
AZ-01
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Primary (07/21)
This open Phoenix-area seat is a genuine toss up in a district with an even partisan lean. Democrats have a strong primary field competing to claim it.
AZ-06
R - Incumbent: Juan Ciscomani
D - Challenger: JoAnna Mendoza
JoAnna Mendoza, a former Marine Corps drill instructor, is taking on Rep. Juan Ciscomani in a Southern Arizona district that Ciscomani has won twice by razor-thin margins. She's built a formidable fundraising operation, and Democrats are confident that a favorable national environment will finally push this seat into the blue column.
CA-22
R - Incumbent: David Valadao
D - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
This majority-Latino Central Valley seat is a top Democratic flip target after redistricting made it more competitive. Rep. David Valadao cast the deciding vote for the Republican budget bill that cuts an estimated $1 trillion from Medicaid over a decade, betraying nearly two-thirds of his constituents who rely on Medi-Cal. Democrats have a strong field ready to hold him accountable.
CA-48
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
This San Diego-to-Palm Springs district became an open-seat opportunity after Republican Rep. Darrell Issa announced his retirement just ahead of the filing deadline. Democrats have a strong field competing to claim it.
CO-08
R - Incumbent: Gabe Evans
D - Challenger: Primary (06/30)
This majority-Latino district north of Denver is one of the most genuinely competitive in the country, rated a toss up against first-term Republican Rep. Gabe Evans. Democrats have a strong primary field led by candidates with deep community roots.
IA-01
R - Incumbent: Mariannette Miller-Meeks
D - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Democrats came within 799 votes of flipping this seat in 2024, making this one of the most tantalizingly close rematches in the country. With the Iowa economy battered by tariffs, this is one of the party's best shots at a flip.
IA-03
R - Incumbent: Zach Nunn
D - Challenger: Sarah Trone Garriott
State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott is running in the Des Moines-area district against Rep. Zach Nunn. Trone Garriott is the only Democrat in Iowa to flip two Republican-held state senate seats, including one in a district Governor Kim Reynolds carried by seven points, proving her crossover appeal in exactly the kind of swing territory this race will be decided.
MI-07
R - Incumbent: Tom Barrett
D - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
This Lansing-area seat is held by first-term Rep. Tom Barrett. In a Michigan cycle supercharged by the open governor's race and a hotly contested Senate primary, this toss-up seat is one Democrats can win with strong organizing and resources.
MI-10
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Republican Rep. John James is vacating this Macomb County seat to run for governor, creating one of the most competitive open-seat opportunities in the Midwest. Democrats have a strong primary field led by well-funded candidates ready to flip this southeastern Michigan seat.
NE-02
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Denise Powell
Based in Omaha, NE-02 is the state’s famous "blue dot" and a genuine Democratic flip opportunity now that Republican Rep. Don Bacon has retired. Democrats have a strong candidate competing to claim this seat, and flipping it would not only add a House seat but could also again split Nebraska's Electoral College vote.
NY-17
R - Incumbent: Mike Lawler
D - Challenger: Primary (06/23)
This Hudson Valley seat, which Kamala Harris carried in 2024, is one of the few Republican-held districts nationwide to back Harris, making Rep. Mike Lawler one of the most uniquely vulnerable incumbents in the country. Democrats have a strong primary field with significant fundraising behind it, and flipping this seat would be a major prize in the path to a House majority.
NJ-07
R - Incumbent: Tom Kean Jr.
D - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
This New Jersey seat, held by Rep. Tom Kean Jr., is one of the most genuinely competitive in the country. Kean is unpopular with independents, and polling shows Democrats have an opening, with a strong primary field positioning the party to flip this seat.
PA-07
R - Incumbent: Ryan Mackenzie
D - Challenger: Bob Brooks
This Lehigh Valley seat was flipped by Republicans in 2024, and taking it back is one of Democrats' top priorities in Pennsylvania. Democrats have built a strong field to mount a serious challenge against freshman Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
PA-08
R - Incumbent: Rob Bresnahan
D - Challenger: Paige Cognetti
Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti is running to reclaim this northeastern Pennsylvania seat, which Republicans flipped in 2024. Cognetti launched her campaign by targeting Rep. Rob Bresnahan over ethics concerns around his stock trading while in office, giving Democrats a sharp contrast message in a working-class district.
PA-10
R - Incumbent: Scott Perry
D - Challenger: Janelle Stelson
Democrats came within 5,100 votes of ousting Rep. Scott Perry in 2024, and the party is back with even stronger momentum in a race rated as one of the most competitive in Pennsylvania. The district is trending, the energy is there, and this cycle presents an opportunity for a strong pickup. This is a race where a small number of votes could flip a seat and deal a direct blow to the Republican majority.
VA-02
R - Incumbent: Jen Kiggans
D - Challenger: Primary (06/16)
Democrats are looking to reclaim this Hampton Roads seat in a district where Rep. Jen Kiggans is seen as one of the most vulnerable House Republicans, particularly amid federal cuts hitting a military-heavy community hard.
WI-03
R - Incumbent: Derrick Van Orden
D - Challenger: Primary (08/11)
Democrats are running against Rep. Derrick Van Orden in a western Wisconsin district that came within three points of flipping in 2024. Polling already shows Democrats leading as independents have moved sharply against the Republican incumbent, and with the open Wisconsin governor's race driving Democratic turnout statewide, this is one of the most flippable seats on the map.
Must-Hold Races
The most competitive Democratic-held seats, where margins will be razor-thin and outcomes will determine which party controls the chamber.
CA-13
D - Incumbent: Adam Gray
R - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Rep. Adam Gray holds a Central Valley seat, and he's one of the Democrats proving the party can compete and win in California's agricultural heartland. Holding this seat is key to Democrats keeping the path to a House majority intact.
CA-45
D - Incumbent: Derek Tran
R - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Rep. Derek Tran flipped this Orange County seat in 2024 and is a top target for Republicans looking to claw it back. His re-election would cement Democratic gains in Southern California's changing suburbs, and he enters 2026 with a strong fundraising position.
MI-08
D - Incumbent: Kristen McDonald Rivet
R - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet holds this suburban Detroit seat and enters 2026 with a strong fundraising advantage. Keeping her in office is essential to Democrats holding their path to the House majority in a state where the Senate and governor's races will drive massive turnout.
NJ-09
D - Incumbent: Nellie Pou
R - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Rep. Nellie Pou holds this North Jersey seat in a D+2 district, and she's a strong incumbent defending Democratic turf that matters to the overall House majority.
NM-02
D - Incumbent: Gabe Vasquez
R - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Rep. Gabe Vasquez is holding a competitive Southern New Mexico seat that Republicans will target hard, and he enters 2026 with a strong fundraising edge.
NV-03
D - Incumbent: Susie Lee
R - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Rep. Susie Lee is running to defend her Las Vegas suburban seat, which has been decided by razor-thin margins for three straight cycles. This is one of the most competitive House seats in the country. Nevada is set to be one of the biggest battleground states of the cycle, with a governor’s race driving massive turnout.
NY-03
D - Incumbent: Tom Suozzi
R - Challenger: Primary (06/23)
Rep. Tom Suozzi is running to defend his seat. Republicans are targeting NY-03 aggressively this cycle, as it is one of the 13 Democratic-held seats that Trump carried in 2024. Democrats are working to hold this seat as Republicans look to make gains on Long Island, with a well-funded field already in place. Holding this district requires early investment and attention.
NY-04
D - Incumbent: Laura Gillen
R - Challenger: Primary (06/23)
Rep. Laura Gillen flipped this Long Island seat from Republicans in 2024 by just 8,600 votes, making her one of the most targeted Democratic incumbents in the state. Holding this seat is critical to defending Democratic gains in suburban New York, and her first term has focused on delivering results for a community that swung back to Democrats after years of Republican control.
NY-19
D - Incumbent: Josh Riley
R - Challenger: Primary (06/23)
Rep. Josh Riley holds this competitive upstate New York district covering the Southern Tier and Hudson Valley, where he won a tough rematch in 2024. He's built a strong fundraising base and a reputation for constituent services in a district that rewards pragmatic, results-oriented Democrats.
OH-01
D - Incumbent: Greg Landsman
R - Challenger: Eric Conroy
Rep. Greg Landsman is defending one of the most competitive seats in the country, representing Cincinnati in a district Republicans deliberately gerrymandered to be harder for Democrats to hold. Republicans added deep-red Clinton County to the district and redrew it to favor Trump.
OH-09
D - Incumbent: Marcy Kaptur
R - Challenger: Derek Merrin
Rep. Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in Congressional history, is fighting to hold a seat Republicans deliberately gerrymandered to be nearly impossible for her to win. Trump won the redrawn district by over 10 points, and Republicans are targeting Kaptur as one of their top pickups in Ohio.
OH-13
D - Incumbent: Emilia Sykes
R - Challenger: Carey Coleman
Rep. Emilia Sykes represents the Akron area, and with Ohio set to be one of the biggest battleground states in 2026, her strong re-election bid helps anchor the party's statewide organizing.
OR-05
D - Incumbent: Janelle Bynum
R - Challenger: Primary (05/19)
Rep. Janelle Bynum holds a Democratic seat in the Portland suburbs, and with the House majority on the line, every seat matters.
TX-34
D - Incumbent: Vicente Gonzalez
R - Challenger: Eric Flores
Rep. Vicente Gonzalez has beaten back Republican challengers twice in this district, which is composed of the area on the Gulf Coast between Brownsville and Corpus Christi, and he's doing it again in a seat that is one of just 13 House districts nationwide that elected a Democrat while being carried by Trump in 2024.
VA-07
D - Incumbent: Eugene Vindman
R - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Rep. Eugene Vindman flipped this Northern Virginia district and is now fighting to hold it in a cycle where every seat counts. Republicans have this race in their sights, making it a critical defensive hold for Democrats.
WA-03
D - Incumbent: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
R - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez won with just 51.7% of the vote in 2024, and this is a district that has to be fought for every cycle. Republicans are going all in here, and early fundraising is already surging on both sides. Holding WA-03 is essential to any Democratic majority math.
Reach Races
Even though we won’t win all of these, every additional seat we do win is a buffer against the structural forces working against Democrats in the long-term. This is because every incumbent who wins in 2026 enters 2028 with an advantage: recent research shows that House incumbency confers roughly a 2.5 percentage point electoral advantage, as incumbents build name recognition, constituent relationships, and fundraising networks that challengers can't match.
AK-AL
R - Incumbent: Nick Begich III
D - Challenger: Primary (08/18)
Democrats are running to reclaim Alaska's at-large seat, with the ability to win over Republican and independent voters in a state that went for Trump by double digits. A Democratic win in Alaska would be one of the most consequential upsets of the entire cycle and could be the seat that decides the House majority.
AZ-02
R - Incumbent: Eli Crane
D - Challenger: Primary (07/21)
Rep. Eli Crane's northern Arizona district, which includes the Navajo Nation and Flagstaff, proved more competitive than expected at the end of the 2024 cycle. Democrats are building toward a strong primary contest in July.
IA-02
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Primary (06/02)
Rep. Ashley Hinson is leaving this northeastern Iowa seat to run for the Senate, opening it up for the first time in years in a state being affected by tariffs and Republican budget cuts. In a favorable cycle, this open seat gives Democrats a real shot at expanding their footprint in Iowa.
ME-02
D - Incumbent: Open seat
R - Challenger: Primary (06/09)
Rep. Jared Golden's retirement opens up a sprawling rural district that Trump carried by nearly 10 points in 2024, while Golden himself won re-election by less than one percent, making it the reddest district represented by a Democrat in the country.
MI-04
R - Incumbent: Bill Huizenga
D - Challenger: Primary (08/04)
Democrats are taking on eight-term Republican Rep. Bill Huizenga in a west Michigan district that has been trending blue for years. National investment in this seat signals that Democrats believe it's finally within reach in a strong midterm environment.
NC-01
D - Incumbent: Don Davis
R - Challenger: Primary (06/09)
Rep. Don Davis remains one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the country and will be a top Republican target in 2026, defending a seat in a district Republicans have redrawn to make it even harder to hold. Davis has won two straight nail-biters and proven he can compete, but holding this seat will require every resource Swing Left can bring to bear in northeastern North Carolina.
NC-11
R - Incumbent: Chuck Edwards
D - Challenger: Jamie Ager
Farmer and businessman Jamie Ager won the Democratic primary to take on Rep. Chuck Edwards in a western North Carolina district that has been trending toward Democrats for a decade. With the slow pace of federal Hurricane Helene aid fueling deep frustration with Republicans, 2026 is Democrats' best shot yet at flipping this seat.
PA-01
R - Incumbent: Brian Fitzpatrick
D - Challenger: Bob Harvie
This Bucks and Montgomery County district narrowly voted for Kamala Harris in 2024, making it a perennial Democratic target despite Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's ability to overperform his party. With the environment favorable to Democrats, this is exactly the kind of seat we can flip.
TX-15
R - Incumbent: Monica De La Cruz
D - Challenger: Bobby Pulido
Tejano star Bobby Pulido won the Democratic nomination to challenge incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz in this competitive South Texas district, bringing name recognition and deep community ties to a race that could be competitive in the environment favorable to Democrats.
TX-23
R - Incumbent: Open seat
D - Challenger: Katy Padilla Stout
Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales resigned after an ethics probe, handing Democrats a rare opening in this sprawling border district that stretches from San Antonio westward along the U.S.-Mexico border to El Paso. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright and is already on the ground making the case that this district deserves better representation, making this one of the most unexpected pickup opportunities of the cycle.
TX-35
D - Incumbent: Open seat
R - Challenger: Runoff (05/26)
Republicans redrew TX-35 to strip it away from Austin almost entirely and reshape it into a district anchored in San Antonio's suburbs and rural eastern Bexar County, flipping the partisan lean from safe Democratic to R+4. Democrats have a strong primary field heading into a May 26 runoff.
VA-01
R - Incumbent: Rob Wittman
D - Challenger: Primary (06/16)
Rep. Rob Wittman has held VA-01 for nearly two decades. However, shifting demographics and a favorable environment for Democrats have put this race on the map.
WI-01
R - Incumbent: Bryan Steil
D - Challenger: Primary (08/11)
Rep. Bryan Steil represents a southeastern Wisconsin district that Democrats are targeting hard. With the open Wisconsin governor's race driving major Democratic turnout and Steil's unwavering support for Trump's unpopular agenda, this seat is well within reach in a wave environment.
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