All Super States / Florida

Florida

SUPER STATE STRATEGY

Florida (and its 29 electoral votes) could swing the 2020 election. Democrats have very narrowly lost in the last two statewide elections, so a big effort in Florida in 2020 could be the clincher.

A changing electorate benefits Democrats if we register enough new voters. Strong voter outreach efforts among the Latinx community could help Democrats win Florida. With the passage of Amendment 4 (allowing people who are formerly incarcerated the right to vote), there is a newly-empowered voting bloc in the Sunshine State.

The Florida Legislature is also a prime opportunity for Democrats. They could potentially flip both chambers!

Our Targets:

4

STATE SENATE SEATS TO FLIP

14

STATE HOUSE SEATS TO FLIP

29

ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES

Republicans currently have unified control of the Florida Legislature—but their grip on power has been slipping over the past few elections.

To win a majority, we need to flip 14 seats in Florida’s House of Representatives. Republicans currently hold 11 seats in districts Hillary Clinton won in 2016. That makes these districts prime targets for flipping in 2020!

In the Florida Senate, there are fewer races, but Democrats could still make serious gains.

Our legislative targets are in three main areas: South Florida and the Miami metro area, St. Petersburg/Tampa metro area, and the Orlando metro area.

What's at stake

Gerrymandering

The Florida Supreme Court ordered lawmakers to redraw the state legislative district maps in 2015 because of extreme partisan gerrymandering. However, gerrymandering persists even today — with real consequences for Floridians.

Popular policies like Medicaid expansion (~60% approval in polls) and universal background checks for gun sales (~90% approval in polls) have not even been considered by the Legislature because of disproportionate partisan control.

Voting Rights

In 2018, an overwhelming majority of Floridians voted to restore voting rights for formerly incarcerated people.

Soon after, GOP lawmakers passed legislation withholding voting rights until formerly incarcerated people pay any outstanding legal fines and fees. An estimated 540,000 to 1,112,300 people may still be unable to vote in Florida because of this undue burden.

The Florida GOP is reversing the will of the people who voted to reinstate voting rights for people who were incarcerated. Democrats will fight to expand voting access for all those who are eligible in Florida.

Environment

Florida is the most at-risk state for climate change-related flooding. Tidal flooding in Florida has already increased by 352% since 2000.

In Miami-Dade and Broward Counties alone, there are 792,226 homes at risk of tidal flooding.

Electing Democratic leadership at all levels of government is the only way we’re going to protect Florida from the effects of climate change.